Working papers
“A $100,000 marshmallow experiment: Withdrawal and spending responses to early retirement-savings access”, with Geoffrey Liu, Jorge Miranda-Pinto, and Tristram Sainsbury, December 8, 2024 (Reject and resubmit at the American Economic Review)
Media coverage: Sydney Morning Herald / The Age, SMH editorial, The Age editorial, Australian Financial Review, News.com.au, The New Daily, 3AW, ABC News Daily, ABC The Drum
“Optimal deductibility: Theory, and evidence from a bunching decomposition”, 2022.
“United we evade: A theory of tax evasion under third-party reporting”, 2020
Published papers
“Rounded up: Using round numbers to identify tax evasion”, 2024, Journal of Public Economics, 238 (with Robert Breunig and Nathan Deutscher).
“A tale of two wage subsidies: The American and Australian fiscal responses to COVID-19,” 2020, National Tax Journal, 73(3): 829–846.
Works in progress
“Permanent responses to temporary tax changes”, 2025
“Secondary-earner responses to effective marginal tax rates: Evidence from the Australian Family Tax Benefit”, 2025 (with Ash Craig and Ellen Stuart)
“The effect of R&D tax incentives on innovation: Evidence from Australia ”, 2025 (with Irem Guceri and Flavio Menezes)
“A propensity-score reweighting correction for manipulation bias in regression-discontinuity designs”, 2021